I've run the numbers more times than I care to mention. Tables, queries, simulations, you name it. All methods tell the same story.
The best loyalty programs have MANY customers, not few customers. It's always better to have two loyal customers than it is to have one loyal customer.
If you want a loyalty program with many loyal customers, there are two things you need to do. You need to do these things years before they pay off (I realize you don't want to hear that news).
- You must acquire high-quality new customers. S-Tier or A-Tier new customers. It's mandatory. That new customer you paid Facebook for that bought one lousy item at $29.99? Garbage. Facebook makes money, you don't.
- You must convert as many first-time buyers to a second purchase within three months of a first order. If you don't get them early, the probability of the customer becoming loyal greatly diminishes.
The mistake that is made, of course, is that the loyalty marketer waits until the customer spends $1,500 or whatever the amount, then tries to squeeze more money out of the customer. How many customers ever get to the $1,500 level? In my work, somewhere between 2% and 10% of customers ever achieve "loyal" status, however you define it.
Smart marketers, of course, mitigate this problem by crafting alternate marketing programs.
- They don't say "no" to the garbage name acquired via Facebook, but they work overtime to acquire the first-time buyer who purchases three items on a first order in two different merchandise categories. Whether algorithmically or (often) via their own programs, they generate attention/awareness that leads to new customers that are S-Tier or A-Tier.
- They have well-developed Welcome Programs that convert customers to a second purchase quickly. This results in a significant increase in loyal buyers 18-36 months later. The Loyalty Professional is dependent upon a Smart Marketer.
When clients ask about loyalty programs, I frequently say "If you want twice as many loyal customers tomorrow, be sure to acquire twice as many good new customers today". That's the point where professionals (i.e. some of you) get frustrated.
There are no shortcuts. There is a Standard that needs to be met.
Regardless, that's what the data shows. Accept facts and thrive!
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