Time to write something fun. I was working on my next book, and needed to find a way to communicate how multichannel pundits take suggestions about running a multichannel business too far. I conceived the following parable to make my point.
There are three fields (like catalog, retail and online) where cats (consumers) like to eat mice (merchandise). There are many different breeds of mice, including white mice, brown mice, black mice and mixed fur color mice. The fields are diverse. One has hills where the sun shines. One has a river flowing through it. The other field features beautiful valleys. A multichannel pundit stumbles across the field, and immediately sees opportunities to improve the hunting experience of the cats (customers) in the field. He notices that there are big differences between the fields. As a result, the pundit contracts with a heavy equipment operator. All hills are removed from the fields. The soil from the hills is used to fill the valleys. The river that went through one field is diverted into the other two fields. The multichannel pundit smiles, realizing that all fields now have the same look and feel.
Next, the multichannel pundit looks at the mice (merchandise). Some fields had too many white mice, while others had too many brown mice. The multichannel pundit makes sure that each field has equal numbers of each breed of mice. If any field runs low on one particular breed, the multichannel pundit moves the remaining breeds between fields. At any time, the multichannel pundit knows how many of each breed of mice are in each field. He smiles, knowing his cats demand to have access to all breeds of mice, wherever his cats wish to hunt.
With each field looking and feeling the same, and mice evenly distributed across all fields, the multichannel pundit wants to make it as easy as possible for the cats to hunt mice. The multichannel pundit brings in flocks of hawks, who squawk messages to the cats each time a tasty mouse is in the vicinity of the cat. This works really well, at first, as the hawks make life easy for the cats. But then, competing multichannel pundits hire their own hawks, and before you know it, the cats are being harassed mercilessly by hawks squawking about mice in competing fields. Many hawks squawk about other things that the cats never wanted to hear about. They squawk about the needs that toads have, or how fish like the newly created river system. Eventually, the multichannel pundit promotes a permission program, where hawks must ask the cats for permission before squawking about the wildlife in their fields.
Having solved this problem, the multichannel pundit finally decides to do some research, to see what makes cats happy. He notices that a fat cat is a happy cat, and the fattest cats tend to hunt in multiple fields. Figuring that every cat could be happy and fat if they hunted in every field, the multichannel pundit hires dogs to chase the cats. Within minutes, dogs are barking at cats, cats are hissing at dogs, dogs are chasing cats into adjacent fields. The ensuing chaos does not appear to make the cats any happier. In fact, some cats are completely exhausted. They no longer want to hunt in their own field, and they know that a dog will eventually chase them to an adjacent field.
The multichannel pundit brings in eagles. The cats are able to point out the mice they want to eat, the eagles search out the mice, kill them, and transfer the deceased rodent to an adjacent field, where the cat, after being chased into the adjacent field, has the freshly murdered mouse awaiting pickup, courtesy of the eagle.
The multichannel pundit looks down on his creation, and smiles. All fields have the same look and feel now, without topography. All fields have an equal distribution of white, brown and black mice. Hawks fly overhead, asking cats permission to share where mice are in adjacent fields. Dogs bark at and chase cats everywhere, pushing the cats into adjacent fields, because cats who eat mice in multiple fields tend to be the fattest and happiest cats. Eagles kill the mice for the cats, and deliver the deceased rodents to adjacent fields so that our exhausted cats, being chased by dogs, can order a snack from one field and eat the deceased rodent in the adjacent field.
What was a chaotic and unorganized ecosystem where cats had to hunt for mice, without the promise of ever finding what they wanted, where they wanted it, has been replaced by a world conceived by the multichannel pundit. The multichannel pundit smiles, watching his cats adapt to this brave, new world.
The transition from analytics to business can be a rather spicy endeavor. Back in January 1998, I changed jobs. No longer was I an anal...
Look at the first four rows of our life table (values of 0/1/2/3). These are the first 12-15 weeks after a customer buys for the firs...
You probably run Life Tables for your customer file, right? Right? They've been around forever ( click here for a reference f...
If you don't like geeky math, please skip this post, because I am about to show you how the sausage is made! I have eight variables in...