As many of you know, I now require a login for comments, as a response to hourly comment spam. But instead of publishing Mr. Libey's essay as a comment, I asked permission to publish the essay as an independent blog post. His thoughts are unedited, below, for your consideration.
If you have a unique perspective (pro or con) regarding the future of catalog marketing, I will be happy to consider publishing your point of view this week, as a way to stimulate a conversation about the future. Email me your thoughts (kevinh@minethatdata.com). With nearly 3,000 blog subscribers and more than 5,000 Twitter followers, your thoughts will reach a receptive and open-minded audience. I rarely grant opportunities for published thoughts from others, so please take advantage of the opportunity in front of you.
Mr. Libey's thoughts:
Kevin
As a very long time observer and operator of catalogs, I have an almost
45 year perspective I would offer in addition to your observations which are
flawless, brilliant and absolutely correct:
The Catalog Age is over: 1) It will become increasingly irrelevant as a
medium of commerce due to individual preference; 2) it has become too expensive
relative to the utility of response; 3) it has been technologically replaced by
online and other alternatives; 4) it has a core of practitioners who mastered
its techniques, but who abdicated the direct marketing mastery to massive
co-ops, inexperienced managers, and techno-mavens chasing shiny buttons and New
Things instead of customer and merchandise mavens focused on what really
matters; 5) if you think about it, why would we ever buy paper, print on paper,
affix costly postage, send it through an archaic, ever-costly system called "mail"
and expect to survive when 95% of what we do is thrown away and most people no
longer care about mail?
What we can expect as a replacement of our former high-growth,
high-profit catalog universe is a slow-growth, lower-profit, bland amalgam of
this mythical and totally nonsensical "multi-channel/omni-channel" world
being sold by "Black Box Data Vendors" that depends entirely on price
driven by the buyers and the competitive medium itself (Amazon).
When the catalog entity, as we knew it, morphed in the late 1990s, it
eliminated the one thing that was responsible for the tremendous success
enjoyed from 1970-1998: Margin. We had it, and it is now gone. When margin
disappears due to price discounting and commoditization, what is left is a dry
husk. There is no business (and no medium) without margin.
But, the overwhelming change was self-imposed. The catalog as an
advertising medium was never wholly supported by the catalog companies who
benefitted from its early successes. The owners were unable to ever come
together and protect it from the margin erosion that steadily invaded from
other media. As one of the founders of the American Catalog Mailer's
Association, I was always amazed by the unwillingness of a successful and
profitable catalog owner to pony up a few dollars to help maintain the margin
and the marketing dominance of their chosen marketing approach. Sensing change
in the wind, the successful catalog owners sold their businesses to much larger
corporations who had no catalog experience or appreciation and were simply
buying market share; it was a pure short-term financial transaction with a few
dollars to be made. The "small close-knit industry" we had known was
suddenly comprised of Big Corporations and the agenda shifted almost overnight
(Sears and Lands' End, as an example; Target, Grainger, Home Depot Supply and Amazon,
as others).
So, the transfer of profits and assets has taken place, the catalog has
eroded over time, and much of the demise is due to Big Corporate greed, apathy,
a lack of common support, and the inevitable progress of change and preference.
The catalog industry has been "milked" and there is little cream left
to squeeze out.
I've owned or run probably 15 catalog companies in my time, small and
big, domestic and international. I've been a trusted advisor or director to
literally hundreds of catalogs. All of this was self-evident and talked
about as far back as 1992, but nobody seems to have cared. The secret still is
actually very simple:
Good products, preferably proprietary, sold at good margin, and backed
by extraordinary customer service. Forget about the medium (channel) and focus
on the products, the customer experience and the numbers. Result: Profit and
relevance.
Best wishes
Don Libey
Managing Director
Libey LLC
Advisors and Intermediaries to the Catalog Industry since 1970
Kevin: Thank you for posting Don Libey's comments. He has not lost his ability to concisely state the obvious. Though the vendor community may not embrace you, the two of you are treasures to the catalog industry - we are lucky to have both your's and Don's wise counsel. Sincerely, Bill LaPierre
ReplyDeleteThanks for the kind words!
DeleteI don't get a lot of feedback, from anybody, countering what I am saying. I'd publish it if the data was analyzed reasonably.